A combination of forecasting internal and external crises in managing the development of educational institution
Keywords:
forecasting, crisis phenomena, management, development, educational institution, models.
Abstract
The article states that management requires forecasting of internal and external crises, timely preparation for which provides the educational institution, as a subject of market relations, competitive advantages and opportunities for development. To solve this problem, an approach to forecasting crisis phenomena in the management of the educational institution has been developed, which takes into account the peculiarities of external and internal crises, is based on formalizing the forecasting process of various components and provides grounds for using forecasts for development.
Downloads
Download data is not yet available.
References
Aleksandrova, O., Hroznyi, I., Vinnikova, N., & Chuvasova, N. (2019). Control of the quality assurance system at the modern Ukrainian university. Scientific Bulletin of National Mining- University - Economy and Management, №2, 153-162.
Altman, E. (1967). Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy. Journal of Finance, 9, 589–609.
Belay, S.V. (2015). Mechanism of state forecasting of crisis phenomena of socio-economic nature. Investments: practice and experience, 6, 122-127. URL - http://www.investplan.com.ua/?op=1&z=4339&i=24
Das, T.K., & Teng, B.S. (1999). Managing risks in strategic alliances. Academy of Management Executive, 13(4), 50-62.
de Haan, J., Fang, Y., & Jing, Z. (2020). Does the risk on banks’ balance sheets predict banking crises? New evidence for developing countries. International Review of Economics & Finance, Vol 68, 254-268, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2020.03.013.
Espinosa-Vega, M.A., & Russell, S. (2020). Interconnectedness, systemic crises, and recessions. Latin American Journal of Central Banking, 1(1–4), 100008, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.latcb.2020.100008.
Floricel, S., & Ibanescu, M. (2008). Using R&D portfolio management to deal with dynamic risk. R and D Management, 38(5), 452-467. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9310.2008.00535.x
Grishchenko, I.M (2014). Professional education in the system of economic research: a monograph. К.: Gramota, 384.
Holm, T., Vuorisalo, T., & Sammalisto, K. (2015). Integrated management systems for enhancing education for sustainable development in universities: a memetic approach. Journal of Cleaner Production, 106, 155-163, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.03.048
Huber, M. (2011). The Risk University: Risk identification at higher education institutions in England. London: School of Economics and Political Science, 21.
Huber, M., & Rothstein, H. (2013). The risk organisation: Or how organisations reconcile themselves to failure. Journal of Risk Research, 16(6), 651-675. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2012.761276
Kulakovskaya, T.A (2014). Methodical approaches to the analysis and forecasting of the crisis of enterprises. Economics of food industry, 3, 12-17. URL - https://fie.onaft.edu.ua/uk/site/archives
Lin, J. (2021). Design of enterprise financial early warning model based on complex embedded system. Microprocessors and Microsystems, 80, 103532, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.micpro.2020.103532.
Lukmanova, I., & Yaskova, N. (2016). Hidden Reserves of Post-Crisis Development of Construction Industry. Procedia Engineering, 165, 1293-1299, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2016.11.853
Makarenko, I.P (2008). Methodological problems of macroeconomic forecasting. Scientific and technical information, 4, 16-20.
Orlovskaya, N.O (2012). Economic crises: analysis and forecasting taking into account the coincidence of cycles of different periodicity. Scientific works of NDFI, 2, 31-36.
Peters, E. (2000). Chaos and order in the capital markets. A new analytical view of cycles, prices and market variability. М.: Мir, 333.
Prokopenko, R.V (2015). Substantiation of methodology of modeling of diversification of foreign economic interactions of Ukraine. Economics and Management: Scientific Journal. Kyiv: Europe. University, 3 (67), 14-21 URL - https://e-u.edu.ua/journal/556.pdf
Raban, C., & Turner, L.C. (2006). Quality risk management. Modernising the architecture of quality assurance. Perspectives: Policy and Practice in Higher Education, 10(2), 39-44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13603100600644522
Sapayeva, L.S (2013). Global forecasts and crisis society. Bulletin of the Odessa National University. Sociology and political science, 18, 2 (2), 11-17.
Shulgina, O.V (2011). Model of forecasting the crisis in the economy of Ukraine. Scientific notes of the National University "Ostroh Academy". Series: Economics, 18, 627-634.
Stepaniuk, N.A (2013). Forecasting crisis phenomena in the economy. Scientific notes National University "Ostroh Academy". Economy, 23, 103-107.
Syreyshchikova, N.V., Pimenov, D.Yu., Mikolajczyk, T., & Moldovan, L. (2020). Development of a Risk Management Technique in Strategic Planning of Universities. Case study of a Polytechnical Institute, Procedia Manufacturing, 46, 256-262, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.promfg.2020.03.038.
Tarasova, H., Zaharov, S., Vereskun, M., & Kolosok, V. (2019). Preventive anticrisis strategy for development of industrial enterprise. Independent Journal of Management & Production, 10(5), 1405-1420. https://doi.org/10.14807/ijmp.v10i5.890
Vasiliev, O.V., & Goy, V.V. (2016). Methods of forecasting the financial stability of the enterprise in a crisis. Scientific Bulletin of the International Humanities University. Series: Economics and Management, 17, 116-121.
Wang, A., & Pitsis, T.S. (2020). Identifying the antecedents of megaproject crises in China. International Journal of Project Management, 38(6), 2327-339, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijproman.2019.05.003.
Zhang, L., & Wang, L. (2016). Risk application research on risk warning mechanism in organizational crisis management – taking Vanke Real Estate Co. Ltd., as an example. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 89, 373-380, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2016.01.019.
Zhyvotenko, V.O. (2014). Features of forming a system of indicators of development of crisis phenomena in the enterprise. Problems and prospects of business development, 2(2), 162-166.
Altman, E. (1967). Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy. Journal of Finance, 9, 589–609.
Belay, S.V. (2015). Mechanism of state forecasting of crisis phenomena of socio-economic nature. Investments: practice and experience, 6, 122-127. URL - http://www.investplan.com.ua/?op=1&z=4339&i=24
Das, T.K., & Teng, B.S. (1999). Managing risks in strategic alliances. Academy of Management Executive, 13(4), 50-62.
de Haan, J., Fang, Y., & Jing, Z. (2020). Does the risk on banks’ balance sheets predict banking crises? New evidence for developing countries. International Review of Economics & Finance, Vol 68, 254-268, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2020.03.013.
Espinosa-Vega, M.A., & Russell, S. (2020). Interconnectedness, systemic crises, and recessions. Latin American Journal of Central Banking, 1(1–4), 100008, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.latcb.2020.100008.
Floricel, S., & Ibanescu, M. (2008). Using R&D portfolio management to deal with dynamic risk. R and D Management, 38(5), 452-467. http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9310.2008.00535.x
Grishchenko, I.M (2014). Professional education in the system of economic research: a monograph. К.: Gramota, 384.
Holm, T., Vuorisalo, T., & Sammalisto, K. (2015). Integrated management systems for enhancing education for sustainable development in universities: a memetic approach. Journal of Cleaner Production, 106, 155-163, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2014.03.048
Huber, M. (2011). The Risk University: Risk identification at higher education institutions in England. London: School of Economics and Political Science, 21.
Huber, M., & Rothstein, H. (2013). The risk organisation: Or how organisations reconcile themselves to failure. Journal of Risk Research, 16(6), 651-675. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13669877.2012.761276
Kulakovskaya, T.A (2014). Methodical approaches to the analysis and forecasting of the crisis of enterprises. Economics of food industry, 3, 12-17. URL - https://fie.onaft.edu.ua/uk/site/archives
Lin, J. (2021). Design of enterprise financial early warning model based on complex embedded system. Microprocessors and Microsystems, 80, 103532, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.micpro.2020.103532.
Lukmanova, I., & Yaskova, N. (2016). Hidden Reserves of Post-Crisis Development of Construction Industry. Procedia Engineering, 165, 1293-1299, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proeng.2016.11.853
Makarenko, I.P (2008). Methodological problems of macroeconomic forecasting. Scientific and technical information, 4, 16-20.
Orlovskaya, N.O (2012). Economic crises: analysis and forecasting taking into account the coincidence of cycles of different periodicity. Scientific works of NDFI, 2, 31-36.
Peters, E. (2000). Chaos and order in the capital markets. A new analytical view of cycles, prices and market variability. М.: Мir, 333.
Prokopenko, R.V (2015). Substantiation of methodology of modeling of diversification of foreign economic interactions of Ukraine. Economics and Management: Scientific Journal. Kyiv: Europe. University, 3 (67), 14-21 URL - https://e-u.edu.ua/journal/556.pdf
Raban, C., & Turner, L.C. (2006). Quality risk management. Modernising the architecture of quality assurance. Perspectives: Policy and Practice in Higher Education, 10(2), 39-44. http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/13603100600644522
Sapayeva, L.S (2013). Global forecasts and crisis society. Bulletin of the Odessa National University. Sociology and political science, 18, 2 (2), 11-17.
Shulgina, O.V (2011). Model of forecasting the crisis in the economy of Ukraine. Scientific notes of the National University "Ostroh Academy". Series: Economics, 18, 627-634.
Stepaniuk, N.A (2013). Forecasting crisis phenomena in the economy. Scientific notes National University "Ostroh Academy". Economy, 23, 103-107.
Syreyshchikova, N.V., Pimenov, D.Yu., Mikolajczyk, T., & Moldovan, L. (2020). Development of a Risk Management Technique in Strategic Planning of Universities. Case study of a Polytechnical Institute, Procedia Manufacturing, 46, 256-262, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.promfg.2020.03.038.
Tarasova, H., Zaharov, S., Vereskun, M., & Kolosok, V. (2019). Preventive anticrisis strategy for development of industrial enterprise. Independent Journal of Management & Production, 10(5), 1405-1420. https://doi.org/10.14807/ijmp.v10i5.890
Vasiliev, O.V., & Goy, V.V. (2016). Methods of forecasting the financial stability of the enterprise in a crisis. Scientific Bulletin of the International Humanities University. Series: Economics and Management, 17, 116-121.
Wang, A., & Pitsis, T.S. (2020). Identifying the antecedents of megaproject crises in China. International Journal of Project Management, 38(6), 2327-339, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijproman.2019.05.003.
Zhang, L., & Wang, L. (2016). Risk application research on risk warning mechanism in organizational crisis management – taking Vanke Real Estate Co. Ltd., as an example. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 89, 373-380, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2016.01.019.
Zhyvotenko, V.O. (2014). Features of forming a system of indicators of development of crisis phenomena in the enterprise. Problems and prospects of business development, 2(2), 162-166.
Published
2021-12-17
How to Cite
Tarasova, H., Kondrashova, L., Chuvasova, N., Kondrashov, M., & Tsikh, H. (2021). A combination of forecasting internal and external crises in managing the development of educational institution. Amazonia Investiga, 10(47), 35-46. https://doi.org/10.34069/AI/2021.47.11.4
Issue
Section
Articles
.gif)
