Possible export development scenario of agricultural products of Russia

Alexander Sergeevich Baleevskikh; Marat Mirsayafovich Galeev

doi:10.34069/AI/2020.28.04.49

Alexander Sergeevich Baleevskikh Department of Commodity Research and Examination of Goods, Perm State Agro-Technological University named after Academician D.N. Pryanishnikov, Russia; Department of Economics and Industrial Production Management, Perm National Research Polytechnic University, Russia. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6050-1275
Marat Mirsayafovich Galeev Department of Commodity Research and Examination of Goods, Perm State Agro-Technological University named after Academician D.N. Pryanishnikov, Russia. https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7277-4644

DOI: https://doi.org/10.34069/AI/2020.28.04.49

Keywords: food products, Russian food exports, export structure, facts, forecasts, scenario for achieving targets.

Abstract

In modern conditions of constantly arising global economic risks, which sharply affect the development of world commodity markets, the role of developing its non-resource exports is increasingly becoming more visible in strengthening the economy of the Russian Federation. This study poses a question and proposes a scenario for improving the country's balance of payments based on increase in Russian food exports. The importance and necessity of solving this issue is reflected in the Message of the President of the Russian Federation of February 20, 2019 and his instructions to the Government of the country. In this regard, the purpose of the study was to consider and forecast possible scenarios for the implementation of approved plans for the development of agricultural exports. Achieving this goal several interrelated tasks had been solved: 1) identifying the ratio of export and import of agricultural products in the Russian Federation; 2) analysis the structure of export agricultural products; 3) forecasting the real possibilities of achieving the target indicators for the export of agricultural products, as well as the processing and food industries; 4) the proposal of options for improving the system of state regulation of agricultural exports or its elements. The result of the study was the confirmation of hypothesis that state regulation of agricultural exports is, in general, effective.

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Author Biographies

Alexander Sergeevich Baleevskikh, Department of Commodity Research and Examination of Goods, Perm State Agro-Technological University named after Academician D.N. Pryanishnikov, Russia; Department of Economics and Industrial Production Management, Perm National Research Polytechnic University, Russia.

PhD in Economics, Head of Department of Commodity Research and Examination of Goods, Perm State Agro-Technological University named after Academician D.N. Pryanishnikov, Russia; PhD in Economics, Associate Professor of Department of Economics and Industrial Production Management, Perm National Research Polytechnic University, Russia.

Marat Mirsayafovich Galeev, Department of Commodity Research and Examination of Goods, Perm State Agro-Technological University named after Academician D.N. Pryanishnikov, Russia.

Doctor of Economics, Professor of Department of Commodity Research and Examination of Goods, Perm State Agro-Technological University named after Academician D.N. Pryanishnikov, Russia.

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