EU. 35% did not support it, and 36% of
respondents noted that they had difficulty
answering. At the same time, the idea of joining
the Customs Union in the East of Ukraine was
not supported by 32%. However, 35% of
respondents refused to answer or found it
difficult to answer. Yet 33% supported Ukraine's
accession to the Customs Union. Note that in just
1 year of the war, the sentiment of the residents
of eastern Ukraine has changed dramatically
(O’Loughlin & Toal, 2019). Consequently, if in
2013 the idea of joining the Customs Union was
supported by the majority of residents (64%),
then as of 2015 only 33%. In general, the number
of Ukrainians supporting Ukraine's accession to
the EU is further increasing. This is evidenced by
the results of the 30th All-Ukrainian War Poll.
This poll was conducted by the research group
“Rating” in June 2022. The overwhelming
majority of the Ukrainian population supports
Ukraine's accession to the European Union
(87%). Only 3% are against it. Consequently, it
can be stated that the support for Ukraine's
accession to the EU is unanimous among
residents of all regions and ages (Ishchuk, 2022).
At the same time, 69% of respondents believe
that it will happen within 5 years. 14% believe
that it will happen between 5-10 years. Only 3%
believe that the accession to the EU will take
place in 10-20 years. Only 7% of respondents
believe that Ukraine will not integrate into EU
standards (Voytyuk, 2022). It should be noted
that as of 2022 the support of the Ukrainian
population for the idea of joining NATO has
noticeably increased (Voytyuk, 2022). In June
2022 it is supported by 76%, against - 10%,
undecided - 12%. It should be noted that only in
March 2022 68% of Ukrainians supported the
accession to NATO. In general, the idea of
Ukraine joining NATO is more cautiously
perceived by residents of the southeastern
regions (O’Loughlin & Toal, 2019). In particular,
55% of the residents of these territories perceive
this idea positively. At the same time, as 20% are
categorically against it, 22% would not come to
a referendum on Ukraine's accession to the
Alliance (Voytyuk, 2022).
Sociological surveys conducted by the group
“Rating” in 2022 point to the evolution of public
attitudes of Ukrainians, which occurred as a
result of Russian aggression. In particular, after
the initial shock, panic moods have subsided
(Visit Ukraine, 2022). Over 92% of respondents
are confident that the Ukrainian armed forces
will be able to defend the country from the
Russian army. Only about 6% of the respondents
are not sure about the possibility of repulsing
Russia. It should be noted that the conviction of
achieving victory is absolutely dominant in all
regions of Ukraine. For comparison, in January
2022 a poll was conducted, where it was asked to
determine the chances of success of Ukraine in
the conflict with Russia - then only 56% of
Ukrainians, who believed in victory if the
military clash acquired an aggressive dimension,
assessed them positively.
In March 2022, about 57% of respondents
believed that the Ukrainian army was capable of
defeating the Russian army within a few weeks.
Specifically, 18% thought victory would come in
a week, while 39% thought it would take several
weeks. 18% of respondents assumed that the
military actions would last for several months,
and only 9% of Ukrainians assumed that no
radical military success is to be expected in the
nearest future (Ukrinform, 2022). To speed up
the victory, respondents are ready to resort to
active actions. First of all, we should note that
almost 97% of respondents determined that they
would not leave the country in the near future.
4/5 Ukrainians also indicated that they support
the Ukrainian military in the confrontation with
Russia, and identified themselves as military,
volunteers, or persons providing financial or
informational support.
The image of the Russians contains negative
public connotations. As the research of the
“Rating” group showed, 40% of Ukrainians say
without hesitation that the vast majority of
Russians have a positive attitude to waging war
against Ukraine. A quarter of respondents believe
that half of the supporters of the war in Russia,
while about the same number of respondents are
convinced that only a quarter of the population
actually supports the war in Russia (Visit
Ukraine, 2022). Of this complex question, the
dilemma is extremely important: What will the
next Ukrainian-Russian relations be like? 42% of
respondents are in favor of never establishing
friendly relations with Russia again - in their
opinion, it is impossible to restore friendly
relations, a little less than a quarter of the
population is convinced that it will take 20-30
years after the war to establish peaceful relations
between the peoples, 18% think that a term of the
next 10-15 years will be enough. Only 12% of
those surveyed say that only a few years will be
enough to restore “pre-war” friendly contacts
(Visit Ukraine, 2022). If we analyze the
geography of such a survey, we can see a certain
“disposition” towards Russia on the part of
residents of the East and South of Ukraine,
especially among people who have relatives in
the Russian Federation. On the other hand, more
than 30% of respondents have relatives in Russia,